Photovoltaic power "popularization" Imagination (2)

"Civilianization stage"

"But as the developed countries gradually cut subsidies for photovoltaic power generation, and the world began to gradually build photovoltaic power plants, photovoltaic power plants will gradually transfer to developing countries from 2011 to 2020. Thin film batteries will become the most important photovoltaic applications." Sha Xiaolin said.

He believes that the large-scale popularization of photovoltaic power generation must be achieved under low-subsidy conditions. For developing countries, such as China, on the one hand there is no huge financial resources to subsidize, on the other hand, most areas have good sunshine and abundant wasteland. In this case, the disadvantages of low conversion rate of thin-film batteries will be minimized, and its The cheap features will be reflected.

“The low conversion rate is nothing more than the larger area of ​​photovoltaic power plants, but there are many desertification areas in the west of China. The additional land use will not increase the cost,” Sha Xiaolin said.

Sha Xiaolin estimates that in 2012, as the cost of thermal power increases year by year due to coal mining and transportation costs, and considering the hidden cost of carbon emissions, thermal power generation may intersect with solar power generation at around 0.5 yuan per kilowatt-hour, so domestically It can realize the full popularization and application of photovoltaic power generation without massive subsidies.

Sha Xiaolin said that the above-mentioned construction of large-scale wasteland photovoltaic power plants is the second phase of the development of the photovoltaic industry, the so-called civilian phase. “As soon as the cost of electricity generation is reduced, China’s installed photovoltaic power capacity will be similar to current wind energy. It's like getting rapid growth."

"Last year, our installed capacity was less than 1 GW, but once low-cost power generation was achieved, it could quickly increase to 5 GW, 10 GW, or even 20 GW (1 GW = 1000 MW)." Sha Xiaolin expects, This will not only increase the proportion of domestic clean energy, but will also create a new advanced manufacturing industry with an annual output value of several hundred billion.

To this end, Sha Xiaolin established the Johnson & Johnson Optronics headquarters in Shanghai, focusing on the development of amorphous silicon thin-film battery production in the future. “We plan to build 20 production lines in Nantong and Wujiang, and build 20 production lines in Shanghai in three years. With a production capacity of 1.5 GW and supporting the construction of a photovoltaic power station, a headquarters economic plan with annual sales of over 10 billion yuan will be formed."

The reason why the headquarters of Johnson & Johnson Optoelectronics is located in Shanghai, Sha Xiaolin thinks mainly because of the following considerations: Shanghai has the advantages of talents research and development, shipping and aviation and other perfect transportation infrastructure.

He said that the headquarters of Johnson & Johnson Optoelectronics has management guidance platform, sales platform, financing platform, research and development platform, and logistics platform. To take advantage of these platforms, setting up headquarters in Shanghai is the best choice, but it is difficult to achieve in other regions.

Sha Xiaolin disclosed that Shanghai’s policy support for the photovoltaic industry was one of the reasons he was preparing to build the production line in Shanghai. He said that Minhang District currently has a policy of subsidizing 10 million yuan for each PV production line that has settled in the area.

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