In 2011, the world economy is in the recovery stage after the financial crisis. The economic growth rate will gradually recover. The GDP of developed economies will increase by about 2.4%, and the GDP of developing countries will increase by about 6.6%. Luo Baihui, head of the International Die and Hardware & Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, said that the international market demand will increase, especially as China’s economic and technological cooperation with emerging economies and developing countries continues to expand, and free trade is established with ASEAN 6 countries. District, with Chile, Peru, Singapore and other countries signed a free trade zone agreement and other factors, the international economic environment in 2011 is conducive to the stable and rapid development of foreign trade in China's machine tool industry.
The main objective of the Fifth Plenary Session of the 17th CPC Central Committee on the economic and social development of the 12th Five-Year Plan pointed out that "smooth and rapid economic development", "significant progress in the strategic adjustment of economic structure" and "increased income of urban and rural residents generally and quickly." . However, due to the lack of momentum in the recovery of the world economy, many deep-seated contradictions and problems have yet to be resolved. Coupled with the impact of the European sovereign debt crisis, the US economy has experienced a weak recovery and the uncertainty of economic development has increased. At the same time, the supply and demand of resource products in the international market are still relatively tight, some raw material prices may increase, and the expected appreciation of the RMB exchange rate and the increase in the cost of labor in China will all increase the cost of export of machine tools. What needs special attention is that in the economic downturn, trade protectionism will continue to emerge in various countries. All these will have an adverse effect on the expansion of China's machine tool industry.
Luo Baihui pointed out that the machine tool industry is faced with the important task of adjusting the economic structure and transforming the mode of development. We must vigorously develop emerging strategic industries, research and develop high-end CNC machine tools and their functional components, automated complete production lines, and intelligent control systems. With the adjustment of the industrial structure, the product structure will be gradually optimized, and the import and export structure of machine tools will also change.
In recent years, China has achieved a series of phased achievements in the implementation of the "High-end CNC Machine Tool and Basic Manufacturing Equipment Major Project", some of which have reached or reached the international advanced level, and have effectively promoted the innovation and development of China's machinery industry.
With the gradual improvement of the economic recovery, a new round of investment boom has occurred in infrastructure construction and project construction in various countries. The construction machinery market has naturally benefited from this. Although there were holiday influencing factors in February, market performance did not fluctuate significantly and overall sales continued to rise. According to expectations, the market situation will be in a stable state in the first quarter. Despite the earthquake disaster in Japan, the construction machinery market will have limited impact.
According to Luo Baihui, the director of the International Die & Metals & Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, European machine tools are emerging from the global financial crisis, returning to the growth track, quickly recovering their vitality, recovering overseas demand, and accelerating the development of related industries in China. development of. At present, the total volume of imports and exports in China has risen. It is estimated that the import and export of the machine tool industry will continue to grow in 2011, and the structure of import and export products will improve. On the import side, the proportion of imports of large heavy-duty machine tools and expensive machine tools may continue to decline. The import of key components required for domestic companies to develop high-end machine tools and heavy-duty machine tools will increase. On the export side, except for a small number of high-end and heavy-duty machine tools, they may continue to make breakthroughs and enter the international market. Middle and low-end CNC machine tools, high-quality ordinary machine tools suitable for user needs, and metal cutting tools and abrasive tools, forging and stamping tools, machine tool accessories And so on, will still be welcomed by the international market and users.
Luo Baihui said that the strong cycle characteristics of the machine tool industry continued to grow in 2011. It takes a year or so for the economy to pass from the downstream to the machine tool industry. In 2010, investment in the automotive, engineering machinery, and electronics industries will be strong, which will sustain the strong growth of the machine tool industry in 2011.
Changes in demographic structure constitute the long-term benefits of the machine tool industry: China will continue to increase labor costs rapidly after crossing the Lewis turning point, and the demand for machine tools will increase significantly.
The tax reform has boosted the development of domestic machine tool companies. After the value-added tax transition to consumption-type, enterprises have greater incentive to replace and purchase new equipment; the cancellation of the preferential VAT exemption for imported equipment will boost the development of domestic machine tool companies.
The domestic market is vast and import substitution is on the rise. China produces, consumes and imports more than a quarter of the world's machine tools, and domestic demand is very strong. With the improvement of technology and scale expansion of machine tool companies, the market share of domestic machine tools has risen sharply, and the import substitution trend has become apparent.
Focus on three types of companies: According to the development trend of the industry, we should focus on three types of companies in the machine tool industry: companies in the fastest-growing foundry machine tool industry, companies with higher-level CNC machine tools, and companies with slower cycle recovery. AVIC Heavy Machinery changed its downturn in the previous period, and recently made an intraday profit. It quickly rose after the opening bell, and the market was more enthusiastic and close to daily limit.
The main objective of the Fifth Plenary Session of the 17th CPC Central Committee on the economic and social development of the 12th Five-Year Plan pointed out that "smooth and rapid economic development", "significant progress in the strategic adjustment of economic structure" and "increased income of urban and rural residents generally and quickly." . However, due to the lack of momentum in the recovery of the world economy, many deep-seated contradictions and problems have yet to be resolved. Coupled with the impact of the European sovereign debt crisis, the US economy has experienced a weak recovery and the uncertainty of economic development has increased. At the same time, the supply and demand of resource products in the international market are still relatively tight, some raw material prices may increase, and the expected appreciation of the RMB exchange rate and the increase in the cost of labor in China will all increase the cost of export of machine tools. What needs special attention is that in the economic downturn, trade protectionism will continue to emerge in various countries. All these will have an adverse effect on the expansion of China's machine tool industry.
Luo Baihui pointed out that the machine tool industry is faced with the important task of adjusting the economic structure and transforming the mode of development. We must vigorously develop emerging strategic industries, research and develop high-end CNC machine tools and their functional components, automated complete production lines, and intelligent control systems. With the adjustment of the industrial structure, the product structure will be gradually optimized, and the import and export structure of machine tools will also change.
In recent years, China has achieved a series of phased achievements in the implementation of the "High-end CNC Machine Tool and Basic Manufacturing Equipment Major Project", some of which have reached or reached the international advanced level, and have effectively promoted the innovation and development of China's machinery industry.
With the gradual improvement of the economic recovery, a new round of investment boom has occurred in infrastructure construction and project construction in various countries. The construction machinery market has naturally benefited from this. Although there were holiday influencing factors in February, market performance did not fluctuate significantly and overall sales continued to rise. According to expectations, the market situation will be in a stable state in the first quarter. Despite the earthquake disaster in Japan, the construction machinery market will have limited impact.
According to Luo Baihui, the director of the International Die & Metals & Plastics Industry Suppliers Association, European machine tools are emerging from the global financial crisis, returning to the growth track, quickly recovering their vitality, recovering overseas demand, and accelerating the development of related industries in China. development of. At present, the total volume of imports and exports in China has risen. It is estimated that the import and export of the machine tool industry will continue to grow in 2011, and the structure of import and export products will improve. On the import side, the proportion of imports of large heavy-duty machine tools and expensive machine tools may continue to decline. The import of key components required for domestic companies to develop high-end machine tools and heavy-duty machine tools will increase. On the export side, except for a small number of high-end and heavy-duty machine tools, they may continue to make breakthroughs and enter the international market. Middle and low-end CNC machine tools, high-quality ordinary machine tools suitable for user needs, and metal cutting tools and abrasive tools, forging and stamping tools, machine tool accessories And so on, will still be welcomed by the international market and users.
Luo Baihui said that the strong cycle characteristics of the machine tool industry continued to grow in 2011. It takes a year or so for the economy to pass from the downstream to the machine tool industry. In 2010, investment in the automotive, engineering machinery, and electronics industries will be strong, which will sustain the strong growth of the machine tool industry in 2011.
Changes in demographic structure constitute the long-term benefits of the machine tool industry: China will continue to increase labor costs rapidly after crossing the Lewis turning point, and the demand for machine tools will increase significantly.
The tax reform has boosted the development of domestic machine tool companies. After the value-added tax transition to consumption-type, enterprises have greater incentive to replace and purchase new equipment; the cancellation of the preferential VAT exemption for imported equipment will boost the development of domestic machine tool companies.
The domestic market is vast and import substitution is on the rise. China produces, consumes and imports more than a quarter of the world's machine tools, and domestic demand is very strong. With the improvement of technology and scale expansion of machine tool companies, the market share of domestic machine tools has risen sharply, and the import substitution trend has become apparent.
Focus on three types of companies: According to the development trend of the industry, we should focus on three types of companies in the machine tool industry: companies in the fastest-growing foundry machine tool industry, companies with higher-level CNC machine tools, and companies with slower cycle recovery. AVIC Heavy Machinery changed its downturn in the previous period, and recently made an intraday profit. It quickly rose after the opening bell, and the market was more enthusiastic and close to daily limit.
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