Do not solve the supercomputer crisis, China’s new car will be spiked


Some time ago, Sino-US trade war, Trump chipped at the chip, ZTE - the world's top four communications companies almost stopped. “The U.S. ban may cause ZTE to enter a state of shock.” The words of ZTE chairman Yin Yimin are so embarrassing.

At that time, veterans of the auto circle discussed with the elder brother that although China had grown stronger during these years, it was all puffed up. People in the United States were all scorpions. In a contest, it will not work. It is so image.

In this contest, the chip became the dead spot of ZTE, and Trump took it a little. This not only exposes the fact that certain industries in China are large and not strong, but also exposes weaknesses in the research and development of core components such as chips.

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As everyone knows, there are also a lot of dead bodies like chips in the Chinese auto industry. Over the past year, China’s auto production and sales have exceeded 28 million, and some of its own brands have sold more than one million cars. However, as the above-mentioned veterans put it, this is also puffiness.

Take the chip, it is not only the culprit of the Chinese auto industry in the past few decades, the future in the era of intelligent, networked, is still the dead spot of Chinese cars, and even greater and more vulnerable to attack. Regardless of the new forces or old forces of car makers, nothing can be done. The ZTE chip crisis is just a preview of the car chip crisis.

This is not an alarmist talk: On May 31st, at the China Automotive Summit, 21st Century Business Herald and Roland Berger jointly launched the “Report on Future Competitiveness of the New Trends of Get-away Enterprises”. According to the "Report," as the automotive industry moves toward intelligent, automatic driving, digitization and electrification, with the introduction of deep learning algorithms, the amount of data processing continues to increase. The outside world has proposed a higher level for the automotive computing architecture and the chip itself. Requirements, then the supercomputing chip will become the core component.

One of the grim facts put forward by the "Report" is that foreign countries are absolutely leading the auto-piloting supercomputing chip and form a giant-dominated situation. Nvidia builds its own automatic driving platform based on its strong GPU platform; Intel and Qualcomm have completed the layout of the autopilot supercomputing chip through acquisitions and taking advantage of their own fields.

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On the contrary, the domestic autopilot supercomputing chip is still in its infancy and its market share is low. The development of the domestic chip industry is mainly constrained by the two ends of the industrial chain. The major bottlenecks in the two major links of design and manufacturing are talents and technology, and the sales end encounters market blockade by the industry giants.

It can be imagined that if autopilot and intelligence are popularized after two years, Chinese brand cars will also realize automatic driving. In the unlikely event that Trump will provoke a trade war, it will do something more on the chip. It is expected that China will automatically Driving a car requires armpit or crash on the road. Or is it surrendering to Trump. In short, the situation must be as passive as ZTE.

This is the grim fact that Chinese cars are facing in the chip field. It is no wonder that the chairman of the China Association of Automotive Engineering paid Yu Wu to express his feelings about the chip crisis in China's auto industry. Zuo Yanan, the original chairman of Jianghuai Automobile Co., Ltd., also expressed emotion that Chinese autos have been greatly upgraded during these years, but the progress of core components has not been satisfactory.

The funny thing is that the domestic auto industry has been fighting saliva recently, arguing that the new forces and traditional forces of automakers can survive, but they seldom stop and think about how to jointly face the international monopoly of key chip technologies.

How big is the use of the chip? Why is the dead point of the new four car?

To understand the importance of chips for the new quadruple of cars, first look at the role of automotive chips. The chip has been hailed as the “industrial food” of the country and is the “heart” of all machine equipment. It is commonly used in several major areas such as computers, consumer electronics, network communications, and automotive electronics, and it almost plays the role of "life and death."

The use of chips in the automotive sector is very wide, and it can be said that without a chip car it will not work. In addition to common multimedia entertainment systems, smart keys, and automated parking systems, the chips are also widely used in automotive engine and transmission control systems, airbags, driver assistance systems, electric power steering, ABS, and electronic stability systems (ESPs). Pedestrian protection, tire pressure control, power windows, lighting control, air conditioning systems, seat adjustment systems, can be called the nerves of the car.

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According to statistics, in 2011, approximately 75 million cars were produced globally, and an average value of about 300 US dollars was used for each car. Data published by Bloomberg Industries on June 23, 2013 showed that the average semiconductor cost per new car reached $329.

With the advent of smart cars, car networking, autonomous driving, safe cars and new energy vehicles, the use of automotive chips will become more widespread. A report shows that in 2013, the domestic car chip market output value reached 4.1 billion US dollars. As mentioned in the “Report” above, in the new era of automobile modernization, due to the rise of autopilot and car networking, the supercomputing chip will become the core component of the automobile, which is the same as the status of the engine transmission and battery, and even more important. It can be said that there is no car without a chip.

Unfortunately, the chip crisis has accompany the growth of China's auto industry.

The chip is so important to the car, but the domestic car chip technology is still very weak. In the past few years, the automotive industry has focused on the upgrading of powertrains, design styling, and other areas, and has not paid attention to the subtle core components such as chips.

The chip crisis in the Chinese auto industry has been for many years, accompanied by the growth of Chinese cars. In 2013, during the work of the China Youth Daily, E-Gold wrote a report that "Chips have become the soft underbelly of China's auto industry," causing concern in the industry.

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At that time, Fu Yuwu, chairman of the China Automotive Engineering Society, pointed out the chip crisis. The auto chip is 100% totally dependent on imports, with an annual import value of 231.3 billion U.S. dollars. "China's automotive electronics IC market and automotive electronics IC market are basically dominated by foreign manufacturers. Freescale, Infineon, NXP, STMicroelectronics, Renesas, Bosch, and Texas Instruments have occupied the majority of market share. There are few domestic suppliers.

Over the years, we have often heard of the development of electric vehicles to avoid the oil crisis. In fact, the chip crisis is still more serious than the oil crisis. According to statistics, China's chip industry has been controlled by foreign manufacturers for a long time. Each year, imports need to consume more than US$200 billion in foreign exchange, which exceeds that of oil as the largest import commodity. Moreover, the technology controlled by people directly restricts the development of China’s information industry.

Domestic companies lack core competitiveness in the research and development of automotive chips. “The domestic chips are mostly imported, and the core automotive electronic control chips are basically in the hands of foreigners. The domestic automotive electronics chip technology is very far away.” Chen Changnian, head of the Chinese Automotive Engineering Society’s equipment department, said with emotion.

The reliability of automotive chips is very high. The operating temperature of general consumer electronic chips is between -20 degrees and 70 degrees. The operating temperature of on-board chips must be -40 degrees to 85 degrees, and it must withstand the impact of cold and heat. Electromagnetic compatibility, anti-jamming and other pressures. This forms a certain technical threshold for automotive chip suppliers. At present, although China has accumulated certain technologies in this field, it is still quite large compared with the international advanced level. There are few companies engaged in the research and development of automotive electronic chips, and their technological strength is weak and they lack design capabilities.

It can be assumed that after the autopilot is popular in the future, the requirements for supercomputer chips will be even higher. At that time, if all Chinese cars use foreign chips, should they run into the ZTE crisis? Looking at the domestic manufacturers of new cars and traditional car companies, which ones can be controlled by people on the chip?

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E-Gang randomly consulted several new vehicle-building forces with automatic driving as their core competitiveness. It is worthy of praise that some auto makers have already developed their own chips. For example, zero-running cars have strong technology in the field of security. They currently purchase TI and INTEL chips, but they also jointly develop self-driving chips with Dahua, and currently have hundreds of chip research and development teams.

In addition, BYD also has a certain amount of technology accumulation in chip research. BYD established a microelectronics company in 2004 that specializes in chip R&D and manufacturing. Currently, it has a complete industrial chain from IC design to power chip design, wafer manufacturing, IC packaging and testing, module packaging and testing, and employs more than 2,000 engineers. BYD's independently designed and manufactured IGBT chips and modules are the core components of new energy vehicles and have been applied in batches to BYD electric vehicles.

But overall, there is still a big gap between home-made car chips and international ones.

How can the new Sihuan car be done to avoid the chip crisis?

Seeing the above facts, perhaps we can draw a conclusion: In order to “change lanes and overtake vehicles” in the new era of automobile modernization, we must first develop the supercomputer chips. Otherwise, regardless of information security or industrial safety, it will be greatly affected. challenge.

When talking about the ZTE chip crisis, Ni Guangnan, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, said that the ZTE incident revealed a problem that you are not relying on your own core technology and relying on others. Another important risk that has not yet been exposed is the issue of network information security. Therefore, early deployment requires that the core technology of the head is very important and cannot be stoked. Today can be passed. There can be no assurance that this problem will not occur tomorrow.

He also said, “We have always said to be our own chip, and if you do not do it, you will surely encounter a lot of problems. The core technology is subject to human beings is our biggest hidden danger, and the ZTE event has also verified this. If you do not master the core technology, people Sooner or later, we will use various methods to set obstacles for you. We must invest our strengths early enough to solve the problems through independent innovation. We must not be lucky."

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It's really exciting. Ni Guangnan’s remarks on getting the new four-wheeler of Chinese cars is also very applicable. Otherwise, the new four-wheeled car was vigorously played by Trump.

Why is China's car chip technology so weak? Why are all independent brands not emphasizing independent R&D in the chip field? Why are so many investments pouring into bicycles and carpools burning up money, rather than investing in R&D chips? This is a problem that often plagues the elder brother.

Ni Guangnan's words give some answers. He said that investing hundreds of billions in chip manufacturing is at least, and it needs continuous investment. Only in this way can China's chip manufacturing catch up with the world's advanced level. Ni Guangnan believes that relying more on national support for chip R&D and manufacturing, if companies rely on this for more than a decade to make profits, investment risks are too high. In addition, the autonomous chip industry is breaking, and it is by no means a company able to bear the burden. It needs the strong support of the country, the upstream and downstream cooperation of the industrial chain, and the division of labor among multiple companies.

It seems that the development of the chip industry does require the systematic guidance and support of the country. However, from a global point of view, chip technology is not unbreakable, and there are several examples that come up later. For example, more than 20 years ago, when Ni Guangnan was responsible for the development of its own chips, Korean companies that were also behind in this area began to make efforts. Today, South Korea has already won a place in the global chip market. Samsung and Hynix have become industry giants.

For another example, the Taiwanese chip industry started late, but the current technology level is already among the top four in the world. The technical strength and profits of MediaTek, UMC, and TSMC are among the top in the industry. Korean companies and Taiwanese companies can do it. Why can't Chinese companies do it?

In the past few years, in order to build the core competitiveness of auto parts, including automotive chips, Fu Yu had made five recommendations: First, to strengthen cooperation between industry, university and research institute; Second, to strive for active government support; Third, to establish a new whole Zero relationship; fourth is to change the "short circuit" situation, to strengthen the development of automotive electronics technology; Fifth, the need for a responsible, forward-thinking entrepreneurs to come forward. "It is important to emphasize that core components are blue oceans for entrepreneurship and blue oceans for business."

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Academician Ni Guangnan and Fu Yuwu’s proposal are indeed good words. If it can be implemented in the end, the supercomputing chip will not be constrained by the Chinese new car.



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